Spot Sinner
Sinner was serving a bit slower than his 2026 averages (in image) today, but it's funny that this matchup is often still framed as Zverev having a slight serving edge.
Sinner is as potent if not more potent than Zverev on serve, in large part because his placement is genuinely extraordinary (tour avg is 60cm away from side and T lines, Sinner's is just 49.7cm). 44% of Sinner's 1st serves don't come back compared to 42% of Zverev's.
And Sinner's deuce wide serve, and T serve on AD, especially are incredibly tight to the lines, just look at how tidy the clusters are. We've never seen this combination of serving and ground game ability in one player.